HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · HNL
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.50
xG Away 0.52
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
BTTS 32%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Rijeka an expected 1.5 goals and NK Osijek an expected 0.5 goals. HNK Rijeka have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and NK Osijek at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 19.8%
2:0 14.9%
0:0 13.2%
1:1 10.4%
2:1 7.8%
3:0 7.5%
0:1 6.9%
3:1 3.9%
4:0 2.8%
1:2 2.7%
2:2 2%
0:2 1.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick HNK Rijeka Win
Probability 62%
Predicted Odds 1.61
Market Odds 1.72

Team Comparison

HNK Rijeka NK Osijek
4 League Position 9
53 Points 35
39% Win % 22%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36

Venue Form

HNK Rijeka at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
NK Osijek Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Rijeka
W W W
NK Osijek
L