1
56%
Home Win
1.79
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
18%
Away Win
5.45
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Rijeka an expected 1.5 goals and Istra 1961 an expected 0.8 goals. HNK Rijeka have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Istra 1961 at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.6%
2:0
11.9%
1:1
11.7%
0:0
10.1%
2:1
9%
0:1
7.6%
3:0
6.1%
3:1
4.6%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
3.4%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Rijeka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Rijeka | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 53 | Points | 43 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
HNK Rijeka at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
HNK Rijeka
W