1
34%
Home Win
2.95
X
28%
Draw
3.51
2
38%
Away Win
2.66
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Rijeka an expected 1.1 goals and HNK Hajduk Split an expected 1.2 goals. HNK Rijeka have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and HNK Hajduk Split at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12%
1:0
11.3%
0:0
10.2%
1:2
7.8%
2:1
7.3%
0:2
7.1%
2:0
6.2%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
3.1%
0:3
2.8%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Hajduk Split Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Rijeka | HNK Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 53 | Points | 68 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
HNK Rijeka at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
HNK Hajduk Split Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
HNK Rijeka
W
W
HNK Hajduk Split
W
L
