1
54%
Home Win
1.86
X
27%
Draw
3.77
2
20%
Away Win
5.08
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
0.77
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Rijeka an expected 1.5 goals and HNK Gorica an expected 0.8 goals. HNK Rijeka have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and HNK Gorica at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.6%
1:1
12%
2:0
11.5%
0:0
10.6%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.2%
3:0
5.6%
1:2
4.7%
3:1
4.4%
2:2
3.4%
0:2
3.2%
4:0
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Rijeka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Rijeka | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 53 | Points | 41 |
| 39% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
HNK Gorica
4 : 0
HNK Rijeka
L
HNK Rijeka
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
L
HNK Gorica
1 : 3
HNK Rijeka
W