HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 08 Aug 2026 · HNL
1 18%
Home Win 5.69
X 23%
Draw 4.38
2 60%
Away Win 1.68
xG Home 0.86
xG Away 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Rijeka an expected 0.9 goals and Dinamo Zagreb an expected 1.8 goals. HNK Rijeka have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Dinamo Zagreb at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.6%
0:2 11.3%
1:1 10.8%
1:2 9.7%
0:0 7%
0:3 6.8%
1:0 6%
1:3 5.8%
2:1 4.7%
2:2 4.2%
0:4 3.1%
1:4 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dinamo Zagreb Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67
Market Odds 1.77

Team Comparison

HNK Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb
4 League Position 1
53 Points 86
39% Win % 75%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.58
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78

Venue Form

HNK Rijeka at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Rijeka
W