HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 22 May 2026 · HNL
Vukovar Vukovar
1 80%
Home Win 1.25
X 13%
Draw 7.84
2 7%
Away Win 14.45
xG Home 2.79
xG Away 0.72
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Hajduk Split an expected 2.8 goals and Vukovar an expected 0.7 goals. HNK Hajduk Split have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Vukovar at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 11.7%
3:0 10.9%
1:0 8.4%
2:1 8.4%
3:1 7.8%
4:0 7.6%
1:1 6%
4:1 5.4%
0:0 3%
2:2 3%
3:2 2.8%
0:1 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick HNK Hajduk Split Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk Split Vukovar
2 League Position 10
68 Points 28
56% Win % 17%
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.03

Venue Form

HNK Hajduk Split at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Vukovar Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Hajduk Split
W
Vukovar
L

Head to Head

21 Mar 2026 HNL
Vukovar 0 : 6 HNK Hajduk Split
W
21 Dec 2025 HNL
HNK Hajduk Split 2 : 1 Vukovar
L
04 Oct 2025 HNL
Vukovar 0 : 1 HNK Hajduk Split
W