HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 09 Aug 2026 · HNL
1 65%
Home Win 1.55
X 21%
Draw 4.71
2 14%
Away Win 7.13
xG Home 1.91
xG Away 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Hajduk Split an expected 1.9 goals and Istra 1961 an expected 0.8 goals. HNK Hajduk Split have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Istra 1961 at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.3%
2:0 12.7%
1:1 10%
2:1 9.6%
3:0 8.1%
0:0 7%
3:1 6.1%
0:1 5.3%
4:0 3.9%
1:2 3.8%
2:2 3.6%
4:1 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick HNK Hajduk Split Win
Probability 65%
Predicted Odds 1.54
Market Odds 1.64

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk Split Istra 1961
2 League Position 6
68 Points 43
56% Win % 33%
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39

Venue Form

HNK Hajduk Split at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Hajduk Split
W