HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · HNL
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.23
xG Away 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
BTTS 35%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Gorica an expected 1.2 goals and NK Osijek an expected 0.7 goals. HNK Gorica have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and NK Osijek at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 17.9%
0:0 14.6%
1:1 12.5%
2:0 11%
0:1 10.2%
2:1 7.7%
3:0 4.5%
1:2 4.3%
0:2 3.5%
3:1 3.1%
2:2 2.7%
4:0 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick HNK Gorica Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

HNK Gorica NK Osijek
8 League Position 9
41 Points 35
31% Win % 22%
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36

Venue Form

HNK Gorica at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
NK Osijek Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Gorica
D D
NK Osijek
L

Head to Head

16 May 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica 2 : 0 NK Osijek
L
14 Mar 2026 HNL
NK Osijek 0 : 0 HNK Gorica
D
13 Dec 2025 HNL
NK Osijek 1 : 1 HNK Gorica
D