1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
30%
Draw
3.33
2
21%
Away Win
4.75
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Gorica an expected 1.2 goals and NK Osijek an expected 0.7 goals. HNK Gorica have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and NK Osijek at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.9%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
12.5%
2:0
11%
0:1
10.2%
2:1
7.7%
3:0
4.5%
1:2
4.3%
0:2
3.5%
3:1
3.1%
2:2
2.7%
4:0
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Gorica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Gorica | NK Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 41 | Points | 35 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |