1
27%
Home Win
3.77
X
29%
Draw
3.47
2
45%
Away Win
2.24
xG Home
0.90
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Gorica an expected 0.9 goals and HNK Rijeka an expected 1.3 goals. HNK Gorica have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and HNK Rijeka at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.5%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.5%
1:0
10.4%
0:2
9.2%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
5.9%
2:0
4.7%
0:3
3.9%
2:2
3.7%
1:3
3.5%
3:1
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Rijeka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Gorica | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 4 |
| 41 | Points | 53 |
| 31% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
