1
50%
Home Win
1.99
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
26%
Away Win
3.87
xG Home
1.72
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.7 goals and Qingdao Jonoon an expected 1.2 goals. Henan FC have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Qingdao Jonoon at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
8.3%
0:1
6.5%
1:2
6.5%
0:0
5.6%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 16 |
| 18 | Points | 14 |
| 39% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.9 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Qingdao Jonoon Away
W0
D0
L4
(4 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
W
L
L
W
Qingdao Jonoon
L
L
L
L
Head to Head
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 0
Henan Jianye
L
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1
Henan Jianye
D
Henan Jianye
3 : 1
Qingdao Jonoon
L
