1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.9 goals and Qingdao Jonoon an expected 1.0 goals. Henan FC have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Qingdao Jonoon at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
10.3%
1:1
10.3%
2:0
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.4%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
5.4%
0:1
5.4%
1:2
5.2%
2:2
5%
3:2
3.2%
4:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 16 |
| 28 | Points | 14 |
| 28% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.14 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D2
L3
(7 games)
Qingdao Jonoon Away
W0
D0
L6
(6 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
D
D
W
L
Qingdao Jonoon
L
L
L
L
L
Head to Head
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 0
Henan Jianye
L
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1
Henan Jianye
D
Henan Jianye
3 : 1
Qingdao Jonoon
L
