1
55%
Home Win
1.82
X
23%
Draw
4.36
2
22%
Away Win
4.55
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.8 goals and Qingdao Jonoon an expected 1.1 goals. Henan FC have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Qingdao Jonoon at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
1:0
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.3%
3:1
6%
0:1
6%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
5.6%
0:0
5.6%
2:2
5.2%
3:2
3.2%
0:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 16 |
| 26 | Points | 14 |
| 32% | Win % | 23% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.04 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D2
L2
(6 games)
Qingdao Jonoon Away
W0
D0
L5
(5 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
D
D
W
L
L
Qingdao Jonoon
L
L
L
L
L
Head to Head
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 0
Henan Jianye
L
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1
Henan Jianye
D
Henan Jianye
3 : 1
Qingdao Jonoon
L