1
47%
Home Win
2.14
X
25%
Draw
4.06
2
29%
Away Win
3.49
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.6 goals and Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.2 goals. Henan FC have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Dalian Zhixing at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
7.8%
0:1
7.2%
1:2
7%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Dalian Zhixing | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 18 | Points | 28 |
| 39% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Dalian Zhixing Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
W
L
L
W
Dalian Zhixing
L