Henan FC vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 31 Jul 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.33
xG Away 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals and Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.4 goals. Henan FC have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Dalian Zhixing at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
0:1 9.2%
1:0 9.1%
1:2 8.3%
2:1 8.2%
0:0 6.8%
0:2 6.2%
2:0 6.1%
2:2 5.5%
1:3 3.7%
3:1 3.6%
0:3 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Henan FC Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Henan FC Dalian Zhixing
14 League Position 2
28 Points 49
28% Win % 52%
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48

Venue Form

Henan FC at Home
W2 D2 L3 (7 games)
29% win rate
Dalian Zhixing Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Henan FC
L D D W L
Dalian Zhixing
W D L

Head to Head

21 Jul 2026 FA Cup
Henan Jianye 1 : 1 Dalian Zhixing
D
18 Apr 2026 Super League
Dalian Zhixing 2 : 1 Henan Jianye
L
24 Aug 2025 Super League
Henan Jianye 4 : 0 Dalian Zhixing
L