1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.1 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.5 goals. Henan FC have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
11.3%
1:2
9.2%
0:2
8.5%
1:0
8.2%
0:0
7.5%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
5%
1:3
4.6%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 1 |
| 28 | Points | 52 |
| 28% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D2
L3
(7 games)
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
D
D
W
L
Chengdu Rongcheng
D
D
D
W
W
