1
25%
Home Win
4.07
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
52%
Away Win
1.93
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.73
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.1 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.7 goals. Henan FC have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
0:1
10.1%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
8.7%
1:0
6.5%
2:1
6.3%
0:0
5.8%
1:3
5.6%
2:2
5.4%
0:3
5%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 1 |
| 25 | Points | 51 |
| 33% | Win % | 60% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.04 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
D
W
L
L
W
Chengdu Rongcheng
D
D
W
W
