1
64%
Home Win
1.56
X
19%
Draw
5.4
2
17%
Away Win
5.74
xG Home
2.38
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heerenveen an expected 2.4 goals and PEC Zwolle an expected 1.2 goals. Heerenveen have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and PEC Zwolle at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.1%
1:1
8%
3:1
7.5%
1:0
6.8%
3:0
6.4%
2:2
5.6%
1:2
4.7%
4:1
4.5%
3:2
4.4%
4:0
3.8%
0:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heerenveen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 15 |
| 51 | Points | 37 |
| 41% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Heerenveen at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
PEC Zwolle Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Heerenveen
W
PEC Zwolle
L
L
