1
33%
Home Win
3.08
X
25%
Draw
4.08
2
43%
Away Win
2.33
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.58
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heerenveen an expected 1.3 goals and FC Twente an expected 1.6 goals. Heerenveen have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FC Twente at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:2
9%
0:1
8.5%
2:1
7.7%
1:0
7.2%
0:2
6.7%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.4%
2:0
4.9%
1:3
4.7%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Heerenveen | FC Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 4 |
| 51 | Points | 58 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Heerenveen at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
FC Twente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Heerenveen
W
FC Twente
D
Head to Head
Twente
5 : 0
Heerenveen
L
Heerenveen
1 : 2
Twente
W
Heerenveen
3 : 3
Twente
D
