1
36%
Home Win
2.78
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
38%
Away Win
2.62
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hamburger SV an expected 1.3 goals and SC Freiburg an expected 1.4 goals. Hamburger SV have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and SC Freiburg at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
9.3%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
6.9%
0:2
6.4%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Freiburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Hamburger SV | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 38 | Points | 47 |
| 26% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Hamburger SV at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
SC Freiburg Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Hamburger SV
L
W
L
SC Freiburg
W
L
L
W
