1
56%
Home Win
1.79
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
18%
Away Win
5.43
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.5 goals and Club Tijuana an expected 0.8 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Club Tijuana at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.6%
2:0
11.9%
1:1
11.8%
0:0
10.2%
2:1
9%
0:1
7.7%
3:0
6.1%
3:1
4.6%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
3.4%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Guadalajara Chivas | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 9 |
| 36 | Points | 23 |
| 65% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Club Tijuana Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Guadalajara Chivas
W
L
W
D
W
Club Tijuana
D
D