1
35%
Home Win
2.82
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
37%
Away Win
2.68
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Groningen an expected 1.2 goals and Utrecht an expected 1.2 goals. Groningen have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Utrecht at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
10.7%
1:0
10.4%
0:0
8.6%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.8%
0:2
6.7%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.4%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Utrecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Groningen | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 48 | Points | 53 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Groningen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Utrecht Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Groningen
W
L
Utrecht
W
L
Head to Head
Groningen
1 : 2
Utrecht
W
Utrecht
0 : 1
Groningen
W
Utrecht
3 : 1
Groningen
L
