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Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam — Prediction

Groningen Groningen
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Groningen
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
  • Groningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle
  • GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 Groningen
  • Groningen 2–2 FC Twente
  • Ajax 2–0 Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax
  • Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen
  • PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 Excelsior
  • FC Twente 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Groningen 34 · Sparta Rotterdam 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 01:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Groningen 50% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 58%
Home Win 1.72
X 23%
Draw 4.34
2 19%
Away Win 5.31
Model goal expectation · 1 1.79
Model goal expectation · 2 0.91
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Groningen 1.79 · Sparta Rotterdam 0.91.
1 58% · X 23% · 2 19%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.1%
1:1 11%
2:0 10.8%
2:1 9.8%
0:0 6.8%
3:0 6.4%
0:1 6.1%
3:1 5.8%
1:2 5%
2:2 4.4%
4:0 2.9%
0:2 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Groningen Win
Probability 58%
Predicted Odds 1.72

Team Comparison

Groningen Sparta Rotterdam
9 League Position 10
48 Points 43
41% Win % 35%
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82

Venue Form

Groningen at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Sparta Rotterdam Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Groningen
D W D D L
Sparta Rotterdam
L L D L L

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