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Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen — Prediction

Heerenveen Heerenveen
1 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Heerenveen
  • ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
  • Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen
  • Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar
  • Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar
  • Utrecht 3–2 Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
  • NEC Nijmegen 1–1 GO Ahead Eagles
  • Cambuur 2–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Feyenoord
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Heerenveen 34 · NEC Nijmegen 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 01:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: NEC Nijmegen 43% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 34%
Home Win 2.94
X 21%
Draw 4.76
2 45%
Away Win 2.22
Model goal expectation · 1 1.78
Model goal expectation · 2 2.06
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
BTTS 72%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Heerenveen 1.78 · NEC Nijmegen 2.06.
1 34% · X 21% · 2 45%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 8.1%
1:1 7.9%
2:2 7.2%
2:1 7%
1:3 5.6%
2:3 5%
0:2 4.6%
0:1 4.4%
3:2 4.3%
3:1 4.2%
1:0 3.8%
2:0 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome NEC Nijmegen Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Heerenveen NEC Nijmegen
8 League Position 3
51 Points 59
41% Win % 47%
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 2.26
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Heerenveen at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
NEC Nijmegen Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Heerenveen
W W D L L
NEC Nijmegen
D D L L D

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