1
62%
Home Win
1.62
X
21%
Draw
4.82
2
18%
Away Win
5.66
xG Home
2.05
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Groningen an expected 2.0 goals and PEC Zwolle an expected 1.0 goals. Groningen have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and PEC Zwolle at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10%
2:1
10%
1:0
9.7%
1:1
9.7%
3:0
6.8%
3:1
6.8%
2:2
5%
1:2
4.9%
0:0
4.8%
0:1
4.8%
4:0
3.5%
4:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Groningen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Groningen | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 15 |
| 48 | Points | 37 |
| 41% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Groningen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
PEC Zwolle Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Groningen
W
L
PEC Zwolle
L
L
