1
34%
Home Win
2.95
X
23%
Draw
4.35
2
43%
Away Win
2.32
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Groningen an expected 1.5 goals and NEC Nijmegen an expected 1.7 goals. Groningen have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and NEC Nijmegen at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
7.7%
2:2
6.7%
0:1
6.6%
1:0
5.8%
0:2
5.8%
1:3
5.1%
2:0
4.4%
3:1
3.9%
2:3
3.9%
0:0
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Groningen | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 3 |
| 48 | Points | 59 |
| 41% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Groningen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
NEC Nijmegen Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Groningen
W
L
NEC Nijmegen
L
D
