Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 47%
Home Win 2.15
X 25%
Draw 3.94
2 28%
Away Win 3.56
xG Home 1.54
xG Away 1.14
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.5 goals and GKS Katowice an expected 1.1 goals. Gornik Zabrze have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and GKS Katowice at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.6%
2:1 9.3%
2:0 8.2%
0:1 7.8%
0:0 6.9%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 5.3%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Gornik Zabrze Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Team Comparison

Gornik Zabrze GKS Katowice
2 League Position 5
56 Points 50
47% Win % 41%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

Gornik Zabrze at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
GKS Katowice Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Gornik Zabrze
L W
GKS Katowice
L D D