1
58%
Home Win
1.72
X
22%
Draw
4.63
2
20%
Away Win
4.97
xG Home
1.97
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GO Ahead Eagles an expected 2.0 goals and Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.1 goals. GO Ahead Eagles have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Sparta Rotterdam at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
9.3%
3:1
6.5%
3:0
6.1%
1:2
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
0:1
5.1%
0:0
4.8%
3:2
3.5%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GO Ahead Eagles Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 10 |
| 38 | Points | 43 |
| 24% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
Venue Form
GO Ahead Eagles at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Sparta Rotterdam Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
GO Ahead Eagles
L
D
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L
L