1
23%
Home Win
4.3
X
23%
Draw
4.44
2
54%
Away Win
1.84
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.87
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.2 goals and FC Twente an expected 1.9 goals. Fortuna Sittard have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Twente at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.8%
0:1
9.1%
0:2
8.5%
1:3
6.1%
2:1
6%
2:2
5.7%
1:0
5.6%
0:3
5.3%
0:0
4.8%
2:3
3.5%
2:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Fortuna Sittard | FC Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 39 | Points | 58 |
| 32% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Fortuna Sittard at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
FC Twente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Fortuna Sittard
W
L
FC Twente
D
