1
73%
Home Win
1.36
X
14%
Draw
7.28
2
12%
Away Win
8.14
xG Home
3.15
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PSV Eindhoven an expected 3.1 goals and Heerenveen an expected 1.3 goals. PSV Eindhoven have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Heerenveen at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
7.9%
2:1
7.5%
4:1
6.2%
3:0
6.1%
2:0
5.8%
3:2
5.1%
2:2
4.9%
4:0
4.8%
1:1
4.8%
4:2
4%
1:0
3.7%
1:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 84 | Points | 51 |
| 79% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
PSV Eindhoven at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Heerenveen Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
W
Heerenveen
W
L
L
W