GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 37%
Home Win 2.73
X 25%
Draw 4.04
2 39%
Away Win 2.59
xG Home 1.43
xG Away 1.48
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives GKS Katowice an expected 1.4 goals and Jagiellonia an expected 1.5 goals. GKS Katowice have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Jagiellonia at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:2 8.5%
2:1 8.2%
0:1 8.1%
1:0 7.8%
2:2 6.1%
0:2 6%
2:0 5.6%
0:0 5.5%
1:3 4.2%
3:1 3.9%
2:3 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick GKS Katowice Win
Probability 33%
Predicted Odds 3.03
Market Odds 3.22

Team Comparison

GKS Katowice Jagiellonia
5 League Position 3
50 Points 56
41% Win % 44%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

GKS Katowice at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Jagiellonia Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

GKS Katowice
W L
Jagiellonia
W W

Head to Head

17 Mar 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia 2 : 1 GKS Katowice
L
04 Dec 2025 Cup
GKS Katowice 3 : 1 Jagiellonia
L
02 Mar 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia 1 : 0 GKS Katowice
L