1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Girona an expected 1.3 goals and Real Sociedad an expected 1.5 goals. Girona have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Real Sociedad at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:2
9%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
7.7%
1:0
7.5%
0:2
6.8%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.7%
2:0
5%
1:3
4.6%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Sociedad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Girona | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 10 |
| 41 | Points | 46 |
| 24% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Girona at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Real Sociedad Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Girona
D
L
L
Real Sociedad
W
W
D
L
D
Head to Head
Girona
–
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Girona
W
Real Sociedad
3 : 2
Girona
L
