1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
32%
Draw
3.12
2
30%
Away Win
3.38
xG Home
1.01
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Getafe an expected 1.0 goals and Mallorca an expected 0.8 goals. Getafe have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Mallorca at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.7%
0:0
15.5%
1:1
13.4%
0:1
13.2%
2:0
8%
2:1
6.8%
1:2
5.7%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
2.9%
3:0
2.7%
3:1
2.3%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Getafe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Getafe | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 18 |
| 51 | Points | 42 |
| 39% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Getafe at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Mallorca Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Getafe
D
W
L
L
Mallorca
L
W
L
