Getafe vs Mallorca Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 13 May 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.01
xG Away 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 36%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Getafe an expected 1.0 goals and Mallorca an expected 0.8 goals. Getafe have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Mallorca at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.7%
0:0 15.5%
1:1 13.4%
0:1 13.2%
2:0 8%
2:1 6.8%
1:2 5.7%
0:2 5.6%
2:2 2.9%
3:0 2.7%
3:1 2.3%
1:3 1.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Getafe Win
Probability 38%
Predicted Odds 2.63
Market Odds 2.8

Team Comparison

Getafe Mallorca
7 League Position 18
51 Points 42
39% Win % 29%
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Getafe at Home
W2 D2 L2 (6 games)
33% win rate
Mallorca Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Getafe
W D D W L
Mallorca
L W L