1
31%
Home Win
3.24
X
23%
Draw
4.43
2
47%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.84
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.5 goals and AZ Alkmaar an expected 1.8 goals. Fortuna Sittard have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and AZ Alkmaar at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.9%
1:2
9.1%
2:1
7.3%
0:1
6.7%
2:2
6.7%
0:2
6.2%
1:3
5.6%
1:0
5.4%
2:3
4.1%
2:0
3.9%
0:3
3.8%
0:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AZ Alkmaar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Fortuna Sittard | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 39 | Points | 52 |
| 32% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Fortuna Sittard at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
AZ Alkmaar Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Fortuna Sittard
W
L
AZ Alkmaar
D
D
