1
74%
Home Win
1.35
X
17%
Draw
5.78
2
8%
Away Win
11.86
xG Home
2.17
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 2.2 goals and Corinthians an expected 0.6 goals. Flamengo have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Corinthians at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.1%
1:0
13.9%
3:0
10.9%
2:1
8.7%
1:1
8%
0:0
6.4%
3:1
6.3%
4:0
5.9%
0:1
3.7%
4:1
3.4%
2:2
2.5%
1:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 13 |
| 79 | Points | 47 |
| 61% | Win % | 32% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Corinthians Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
D
W
Corinthians
L
D
