1
49%
Home Win
2.03
X
24%
Draw
4.22
2
27%
Away Win
3.7
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Feyenoord an expected 1.7 goals and Utrecht an expected 1.2 goals. Feyenoord have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Utrecht at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
9.1%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
6.7%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
5.8%
3:1
5.5%
0:0
5.2%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Feyenoord Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Feyenoord | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 65 | Points | 53 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Feyenoord at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Utrecht Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Feyenoord
D
W
W
Utrecht
W
W
L
