1
56%
Home Win
1.78
X
21%
Draw
4.78
2
23%
Away Win
4.34
xG Home
2.10
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Feyenoord an expected 2.1 goals and AZ Alkmaar an expected 1.3 goals. Feyenoord have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and AZ Alkmaar at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.6%
1:1
9.1%
2:0
7.5%
1:0
7.1%
3:1
6.7%
2:2
6.2%
1:2
5.9%
3:0
5.2%
0:1
4.4%
3:2
4.3%
4:1
3.5%
0:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Feyenoord Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 7 |
| 65 | Points | 52 |
| 56% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Feyenoord at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
AZ Alkmaar Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Feyenoord
D
W
W
AZ Alkmaar
D
D
