1
30%
Home Win
3.36
X
21%
Draw
4.68
2
49%
Away Win
2.05
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Twente an expected 1.6 goals and PSV Eindhoven an expected 2.0 goals. FC Twente have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and PSV Eindhoven at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.9%
1:1
8.7%
2:2
6.9%
2:1
6.8%
1:3
6%
0:2
5.7%
0:1
5.6%
2:3
4.7%
1:0
4.3%
0:3
3.9%
3:2
3.6%
3:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| FC Twente | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 58 | Points | 84 |
| 44% | Win % | 79% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.97 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
FC Twente at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
PSV Eindhoven Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Twente
W
W
D
PSV Eindhoven
W
D
