1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
17%
Draw
6.05
2
12%
Away Win
8.65
xG Home
2.46
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Twente an expected 2.5 goals and PEC Zwolle an expected 0.9 goals. FC Twente have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and PEC Zwolle at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.4%
3:0
8.7%
1:0
8.6%
3:1
7.8%
1:1
7.7%
4:0
5.4%
4:1
4.8%
2:2
4.2%
0:0
3.5%
3:2
3.4%
1:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| FC Twente | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 15 |
| 58 | Points | 37 |
| 44% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
FC Twente at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
PEC Zwolle Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Twente
W
D
PEC Zwolle
L
L
