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FC Twente vs Ajax — Prediction

FC Twente FC Twente
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Ajax Ajax

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC Twente
  • FC Twente 3–1 Pafos FC
  • Excelsior 0–9 FC Twente
  • AZ Alkmaar 0–2 FC Twente
  • Lincoln Red Imps 1–4 FC Twente
  • FC Twente 1–2 Utrecht
Ajax
  • FC Midtjylland 1–6 Ajax
  • Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax
  • Ajax 2–0 Atalanta
  • Groningen 2–5 Ajax
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC Twente 34 · Ajax 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Twente 44% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.42
Model goal expectation · 2 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC Twente 1.42 · Ajax 1.25.
1 41% · X 26% · 2 33%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
1:0 9.8%
2:1 8.7%
0:1 8.6%
1:2 7.7%
2:0 7%
0:0 6.9%
2:2 5.5%
0:2 5.4%
3:1 4.1%
3:0 3.3%
1:3 3.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC Twente Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44

Team Comparison

FC Twente Ajax
4 League Position 5
58 Points 56
44% Win % 41%
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

FC Twente at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Ajax Away
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

FC Twente
W W W W L
Ajax
W W W W W

More Eredivisie Predictions

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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 39%
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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 42%
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Sat 07 Nov
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Heerenveen vs Feyenoord
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 47%

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01

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02

Check the recording time

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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