1
32%
Home Win
3.1
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
41%
Away Win
2.45
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC St. Pauli an expected 1.2 goals and VfL Wolfsburg an expected 1.3 goals. FC St. Pauli have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and VfL Wolfsburg at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
11.1%
1:0
9.6%
1:2
8.5%
0:0
8.3%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7.4%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.8%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | VfL Wolfsburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| FC St. Pauli | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 16 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 18% | Win % | 21% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.03 |
Venue Form
FC St. Pauli at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
VfL Wolfsburg Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC St. Pauli
L
VfL Wolfsburg
D
W
