1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Nordsjaelland an expected 1.0 goals and Aarhus GF an expected 1.5 goals. FC Nordsjaelland have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Aarhus GF at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
11.8%
1:2
9.3%
0:2
9.1%
1:0
7.9%
0:0
7.7%
2:1
6.2%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
4.8%
0:3
4.7%
2:0
4.1%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus GF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 50 | Points | 67 |
| 47% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
FC Nordsjaelland at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Aarhus GF Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Nordsjaelland
W
W
D
D
W
Aarhus GF
D
L
W
D
L
