1
21%
Home Win
4.84
X
22%
Draw
4.45
2
57%
Away Win
1.76
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.86
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Nordsjaelland an expected 1.0 goals and Aarhus GF an expected 1.9 goals. FC Nordsjaelland have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Aarhus GF at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.6%
0:1
10.3%
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.6%
1:3
6.2%
0:3
6%
1:0
5.7%
0:0
5.5%
2:1
5.5%
2:2
5.1%
2:3
3.2%
2:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus GF | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 31 | Points | 50 |
| 45% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
FC Nordsjaelland at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Aarhus GF Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
FC Nordsjaelland
W
D
D
W
Aarhus GF
W
D
L
