1
50%
Home Win
2
X
24%
Draw
4.17
2
26%
Away Win
3.86
xG Home
1.70
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Koln an expected 1.7 goals and Werder Bremen an expected 1.2 goals. FC Koln have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Werder Bremen at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
1:0
9.8%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
8.3%
0:1
6.7%
1:2
6.5%
0:0
5.8%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
5.4%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Koln Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| FC Koln | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 15 |
| 32 | Points | 32 |
| 21% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
FC Koln at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Werder Bremen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
FC Koln
L
L
Werder Bremen
L
D
L
