1
55%
Home Win
1.82
X
21%
Draw
4.68
2
24%
Away Win
4.22
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Koln an expected 2.0 goals and FC Heidenheim an expected 1.3 goals. FC Koln have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and FC Heidenheim at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.6%
1:1
9.5%
2:0
7.5%
1:0
7.4%
3:1
6.5%
2:2
6.2%
1:2
6%
3:0
5.1%
0:1
4.6%
3:2
4.2%
0:0
3.6%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Koln Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| FC Koln | FC Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 17 |
| 32 | Points | 26 |
| 21% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.12 |
Venue Form
FC Koln at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
FC Heidenheim Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
FC Koln
D
L
L
FC Heidenheim
W
D
L
Head to Head
FC Koln
0 : 0
FC Heidenheim
D
FC Heidenheim
2 : 2
FC Koln
D
FC Heidenheim
4 : 1
FC Koln
L
