1
23%
Home Win
4.37
X
21%
Draw
4.78
2
56%
Away Win
1.78
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Juarez an expected 1.3 goals and Tigres UANL an expected 2.1 goals. FC Juarez have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Tigres UANL at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.6%
1:1
9.2%
0:2
7.5%
0:1
7.2%
1:3
6.7%
2:2
6.1%
2:1
5.9%
0:3
5.3%
1:0
4.4%
2:3
4.3%
1:4
3.5%
0:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| FC Juarez | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 7 |
| 19 | Points | 25 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
FC Juarez at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Tigres UANL Away
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Juarez
L
W
Tigres UANL
D
L
D
D
L
