1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
23%
Draw
4.43
2
20%
Away Win
5.1
xG Home
1.84
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Juarez an expected 1.8 goals and Puebla an expected 1.0 goals. FC Juarez have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Puebla at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11%
1:1
10.7%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.2%
3:1
6.1%
0:0
6%
0:1
5.8%
1:2
5.2%
2:2
4.8%
3:2
3%
4:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Juarez Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Juarez | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 17 |
| 19 | Points | 13 |
| 29% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
FC Juarez at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Puebla Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Juarez
L
W
Puebla
L
W
L
L
Head to Head
Puebla
1 : 1
FC Juarez
D
FC Juarez
4 : 4
Puebla
D
FC Juarez
2 : 0
Puebla
L
