1
22%
Home Win
4.49
X
21%
Draw
4.73
2
57%
Away Win
1.77
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
2.05
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Augsburg an expected 1.2 goals and Bayer Leverkusen an expected 2.1 goals. FC Augsburg have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Bayer Leverkusen at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.7%
1:1
9.5%
0:2
8%
0:1
7.8%
1:3
6.7%
2:2
5.9%
2:1
5.8%
0:3
5.5%
1:0
4.6%
2:3
4.1%
0:0
3.8%
1:4
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayer Leverkusen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| FC Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 59 |
| 35% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
FC Augsburg at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Bayer Leverkusen Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
FC Augsburg
W
D
Bayer Leverkusen
L
W
D
