1
12%
Home Win
8.08
X
15%
Draw
6.72
2
72%
Away Win
1.38
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
2.85
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Excelsior an expected 1.1 goals and PSV Eindhoven an expected 2.9 goals. Excelsior have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and PSV Eindhoven at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.6%
1:3
8.1%
0:2
7.5%
0:3
7.2%
1:1
6%
1:4
5.8%
0:1
5.3%
0:4
5.1%
2:2
4.9%
2:3
4.6%
2:1
3.4%
2:4
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Excelsior | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 1 |
| 38 | Points | 84 |
| 29% | Win % | 79% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.97 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Excelsior at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
PSV Eindhoven Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Excelsior
D
W
PSV Eindhoven
W
D
