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Excelsior vs FC Twente — Prediction

Excelsior Excelsior
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
FC Twente FC Twente

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Excelsior
  • Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
  • Ajax 2–2 Excelsior
  • Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht
  • Willem II 0–3 Excelsior
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior
FC Twente
  • AZ Alkmaar 0–2 FC Twente
  • Lincoln Red Imps 1–4 FC Twente
  • FC Twente 3–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • FC Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag
  • FC Twente 1–0 Telstar
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Excelsior 34 · FC Twente 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 01:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Twente 42% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 23%
Home Win 4.36
X 24%
Draw 4.11
2 53%
Away Win 1.9
Model goal expectation · 1 1.01
Model goal expectation · 2 1.67
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 52%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Excelsior 1.01 · FC Twente 1.67.
1 23% · X 24% · 2 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
0:1 11.4%
1:2 9.6%
0:2 9.5%
1:0 7%
0:0 6.9%
2:1 5.9%
1:3 5.4%
0:3 5.3%
2:2 4.9%
2:0 3.5%
2:3 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC Twente Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89

Team Comparison

Excelsior FC Twente
13 League Position 4
38 Points 58
29% Win % 44%
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Excelsior at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
FC Twente Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Excelsior
L D L W D
FC Twente
W W W W W

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