1
65%
Home Win
1.53
X
18%
Draw
5.52
2
16%
Away Win
6.12
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dinamo Moscow an expected 2.4 goals and Krylya Sovetov an expected 1.1 goals. Dinamo Moscow have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Krylya Sovetov at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.4%
1:1
7.9%
3:1
7.6%
1:0
6.9%
3:0
6.7%
2:2
5.4%
4:1
4.6%
1:2
4.5%
3:2
4.3%
4:0
4.1%
0:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dinamo Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| Dinamo Moscow | Krylya Sovetov | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 11 |
| 45 | Points | 32 |
| 40% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
