Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 19 Oct 2026 · Allsvenskan
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.54
xG Away 1.14
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Degerfors IF an expected 1.5 goals and Kalmar FF an expected 1.1 goals. Degerfors IF have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kalmar FF at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.6%
2:1 9.3%
2:0 8.1%
0:1 7.8%
0:0 6.9%
1:2 6.9%
2:2 5.3%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Degerfors IF Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Venue Form

Degerfors IF at Home
W2 D2 L3 (7 games)
29% win rate
Kalmar FF Away
W0 D0 L5 (5 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Degerfors IF
L W L D L
Kalmar FF
L L L L L