1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
16%
Away Win
6.1
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruzeiro an expected 1.5 goals and São Paulo FC an expected 0.7 goals. Cruzeiro have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and São Paulo FC at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.8%
2:0
12.9%
1:1
11.4%
0:0
11%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
7.4%
3:0
6.6%
3:1
4.5%
1:2
3.9%
2:2
3%
4:0
2.5%
0:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruzeiro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Cruzeiro | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 8 |
| 70 | Points | 51 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Cruzeiro at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
São Paulo FC Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cruzeiro
L
W
São Paulo FC
L
L
D
D
