1
82%
Home Win
1.21
X
11%
Draw
9.33
2
6%
Away Win
15.77
xG Home
3.21
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 3.2 goals and Santos Laguna an expected 0.8 goals. Cruz Azul have a 82% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Santos Laguna at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
9.6%
2:0
8.9%
3:1
8.1%
4:0
7.7%
2:1
7.5%
4:1
6.5%
1:0
5.6%
1:1
4.7%
3:2
3.4%
2:2
3.2%
4:2
2.7%
1:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 82% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.22 |
| Market Odds | 1.3 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 18 |
| 33 | Points | 12 |
| 53% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
Santos Laguna Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
W
D
D
W
W
Santos Laguna
L
L
L
