1
39%
Home Win
2.6
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
36%
Away Win
2.75
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 1.4 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.4 goals. Cruz Azul have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
8.5%
2:1
8.5%
0:1
8.2%
1:2
8.2%
2:0
6.1%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.9%
0:2
5.7%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
3.8%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 33 | Points | 36 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
W
D
D
W
W
Guadalajara Chivas
D
L
D
